Journal of Liaoning Petrochemical University
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Research on Short⁃Term Natural Gas Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Deep Learning
Wencai Tian, Weibiao Qiao, Guofeng Zhou, Wei Liu
Abstract244)   HTML    PDF (1007KB)(316)      

As natural gas accounts for an increasing proportion of energy consumption, how to accurately predict the future natural gas consumption is of great significance to the rational planning of natural gas. For this problem,a short?term natural gas load forecasting model based on wavelet transform and deep learning was proposed. First,the collected natural gas load was decomposed by using different wavelets , and then normalized it.Secondly, the data wes trained and predictd by using the deep learning algorithm Long Short?Term Memory (LSTM); then the predicted data was separately integrated by using wavelet reconstruction.Finally, the average absolute percentage error, average absolute error and root mean square error were used as evaluation indicators to evaluate the prediction results of different wavelets, and the optimal order and number of layers of the optimal wavelet were calculated.The examples show that the 22nd?order 6th layer of Fk wavelet transforms has higher prediction accuracy than other wavelets transforms and direct use of LSTM for prediction.

2021, 41 (5): 91-96. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-6952.2021.05.016
Prediction of Solubility of NaCl⁃Na 2SO 4⁃H 2O in High Salt Wastewater by Pitzer Thermodynamic Model
Jumei Ye, Wei Liu, Tianya Li, Zhuang Li, Huanyang Liu
Abstract275)   HTML    PDF (555KB)(108)      

In order to study the salt precipitation law of the NaCl?Na2SO4?H2O ternary system at a temperature of 298.15 K, the Pitzer model was used to predict and calculate the activity coefficient and solubility of the system, and the variation of the activity coefficients of Na+, Cl- and SO 4 2 - and the corresponding phase diagram of the ternary system were analyzed. The results show that with the increase of the Na2SO4 mass fraction, the activity coefficients of Cl- and SO 4 2 - have no obvious change, while the activity coefficient of Na+ icreases first and then decreases. When the mass fraction of Na2SO4 in the liquid phase is less than 6.8%, the average change rate of the increase in the activity coefficient of Na+ is 4.4%. When the mass fraction of Na2SO4 in the liquid phase is between 6.8% and 14.9%, the average change rate of decrease in the activity coefficient of Na+ is 4.1%, when the mass fraction of Na2SO4 in the liquid phase reaches 14.9%, the activity coefficient of Na+ decreases fastest, and the average change rate is 8.0%; when the mass fraction of NaCl in the liquid phase is greater than 22.9% and the mass fraction of Na2SO4 is less than 6.8% ,as the water evaporates, NaCl precipitates first and Na2SO4 precipitates later; when the liquid phase mass fraction of NaCl is 14.0%~22.9% and the mass fraction of Na2SO4 is 6.8%~14.9%, the precipitation order is reversed.

2021, 41 (5): 32-37. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-6952.2021.05.006